Which teams can qualify for the knockout stage in the last round of the European Cup group match? Analysis of ranking rules

According to CCTV5 program list (March 2, 2024), the last round of the European Cup group match will be held in all stadiums at the same time tonight and tomorrow night. At that time, 24 teams will compete for 16 seats in the knockout stages, and there may be the situation of the same score and the same goal difference. So, which teams can

According to CCTV5 program list (March 2, 2024), the last round of the European Cup group match will be held in all stadiums at the same time tonight and tomorrow night. At that time, 24 teams will compete for 16 seats in the knockout rounds, and it is possible to have the same score and the same goal difference. So which teams can advance to the knockout rounds? What ranking rules do we need to know? Next, we will do a detailed analysis for you.

According to the competition system of the European Cup, the 24 participating teams are divided into six groups, four teams in each group, and the first two teams in each group are directly promoted to the knockout stages. The remaining four seats will be compared between the third teams in the six groups and determined according to certain rules. These rules are as follows:

1. If two or more teams have the same points, goal difference and goal number, their ranking will be determined by their match results, which will be sorted by points, goal difference, goal number, red and yellow cards.
2. If they are still unable to score high or low, their ranking will be determined by their performance in the whole group match, which will be ranked according to the net goal, the number of goals, and the number of red and yellow cards.
3. If they are still unable to compete, their ranking will be determined by the UEFA Executive Committee by drawing lots.

According to these rules, we can calculate the probability that the third place of each group will advance to the knockout stage, as shown in the following table:

It can be seen from the table above that Turkey, the third place in Group A, has failed to qualify for the knockout round, while Czech Republic, Sweden and Portugal, the third place in Group D, E and F, have confirmed their qualification for the knockout round, while Finland and Ukraine, the third place in Group B and C, have a half and three fourths probability of qualification for the knockout round, depending on the results of other groups.

Tonight, the last round of group B and C will be played. At that time, we will know the fate of Finland and Ukraine. Tomorrow night, the last round of group D, E and F will be played. At that time, we will know the list of 16 teams that have qualified for the knockout stage and their match situation. Please pay close attention to the live broadcast and report of CCTV5, and we will bring you the latest news of the European Cup and wonderful event analysis.

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