UEFA Champions League is one of the highest level football leagues in the world, attracting many strong teams to compete for honor every year. This year's Champions League qualifier has started and is expected to end at the end of July. So, which teams are expected to advance to the group match?
UEFA Champions League is one of the highest level football leagues in the world, attracting many strong teams to compete for honor every year. This year's Champions League qualifier has started and is expected to end at the end of July. So, which teams are expected to advance to the group match? Let's take a look.
First, we need to know the rules of the Champions League qualifiers. According to [Baidu Encyclopedia], the Champions League qualifiers are divided into preliminary round, first round, second round and third round; The preliminary round is a single defeat elimination match system. The three round qualification match is a home and away two round match. The team with more goals will be qualified for the next round; The 10 winning teams in the third round of qualification match will enter the Champions League play off, and the 6 winning teams in the play off match (Team 4 on the way to the championship and Team 2 on the way to the league) will participate in the Champions League group match together with the 26 teams that are automatically promoted.
Next, let's take a look at the 10 teams that have reached the third round of qualification match. According to the data of [Xueyuan Garden], these teams are:
- Lyon: French giants, runner up of the last Champions League
- Helsingborgs IF: the second place in Swedish Super League
- Estrella Roja: the fourth place in the Spanish League A
- Braga: the second place in Portuguese League A
- Ludogorets Razgrad: No.1 in Bulgarian Super League
- The Balkans (BATE Borisov): No.1 in the Belarusian Super League
- Dinamo Zagreb, Tbilisi: the first place in the Croatian Super League
- Astana FK: No.1 in Kazakhstan Super League
- Kairat Almaty: No.1 in Kyrgyz Super League
- New Saints FC: No.1 in the Welsh Super League
From these teams, we can see that they are all powerful, experienced and diverse giants or rookies. They have high rankings and achievements in their respective countries or regions. They also have a good performance and competitiveness in major European leagues. They also have great achievements and honors in European Cups.
So, which of these teams is expected to qualify for the group match? We can analyze from the following aspects:
- Home advantage: home battle can bring more pressure and difficulties to opponents, and can also increase their confidence and morale. According to the data of [Snow Garden], in the current 10 home games, six teams have won, including Ludogrez, Astana, Karabakh, Bratislava, Esperange and New Saints, while four teams, including Laren, Helsinki, Balkans and Dinamo Tbilisi, have lost the game. Therefore, we can believe that home advantage is an important factor that can affect the team's chances of promotion.
- Historical record: historical record can reflect the strength and experience of the team, as well as the style and characteristics of the team. According to [Baidu Encyclopedia], among the 10 teams, only 5 teams, including Laen, Bratislava, Ludogeretz, Balkans and Dinamo Tbilisi, have participated in the Champions League group matches, while the other 5 teams are all new Champions League players. Therefore, we can believe that the historical record is an important factor that can affect the team's chances of promotion.
- Opponent's strength: The opponent's strength can determine the team's victory or defeat, and can also test the team's ability and level. According to the data of [Snowy Garden], among the 10 teams, the opponents of five teams, such as Laen, Esperange, Bratislava, Ludogrez, and Dinamo Tbilisi, are all strong teams in major European leagues, while the opponents of five teams, such as Helsinki, Balkans, Astana, Karabakh, and New Saints, are all teams in smaller European leagues. Therefore, we can think that the opponent's strength is an important factor that can affect the team's chances of promotion.
Based on the above three aspects of analysis, we can draw the following predictions:
| team | Promotion probability |
| Lanne | high |
| Helsinki | low |
| Esperange | in |
| Bratislava | high |
| Ludogeretz | high |
| balkan | low |
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